Jokowi Eyes Highest Indonesia Growth Since 2013 Amid Risks

Jokowi Eyes Highest Indonesia Growth Since 2013 Amid Risks(Bloomberg) -- Terms of Trade is a daily newsletter that untangles a world embroiled in trade wars. Sign up here. Indonesia’s economy is set to expand at the fastest pace in seven years as President Joko Widodo bets on higher government spending and a pick up in investment to counter risks from a global slowdown and an escalating trade war.Southeast Asia’s largest economy is forecast to grow 5.3% next year, Jokowi -- as Widodo is known -- said Friday in his annual budget speech. That would be the fastest pace since 2013, up from 5.2% growth the government expects this year. The expansion will be driven by household consumption and investment, the president said, adding government spending will rise to a record 2,528.8 trillion rupiah ($178 billion).“The government believes that investment will continue to flow into the country because of the positive perception about Indonesia and the improvement in the investment climate,” Jokowi said. While other economies are slowing, Indonesia’s economy “must be able to grow” and any crisis “must be turned into an opportunity,” he said.Jokowi, who will be sworn in for a second term in October, wants to ignite an economy that’s been slowing in the face of waning global demand and the U.S.-China trade war. Fresh off a landslide election win in April, he has pledged reforms aimed at attracting foreign investment and reversing a persistent trade deficit.The record budget comes as governments around Asia look to support their economies as the global outlook darkens. Hong Kong on Thursday committed to $2.4 billion in stimulus spending, while Thailand on Friday pledged a $10 billion package of spending and loans to juice growth to 3%. Lower DeficitIndonesia’s economy has been struggling to move much beyond 5% growth for several years, amid lackluster commodity prices and a downturn in its manufacturing sector. The economy expanded 5.05% in the second quarter, its slowest pace in two years.The president, whose first term was marked by a massive infrastructure drive, has turned his attention to boosting manufacturing and productivity. He also has unveiled steps to increase exports after Indonesia last year posted its worst trade deficit on record.The fiscal deficit will be contained at 1.76% of GDP next year, lower than the revised estimate of 1.93% for this year, Jokowi said. Government revenue is forecast to jump to 2,221.5 trillion rupiah from 2,165.1 trillion rupiah this year.“This is a form of commitment government, to make the state budget more focused to support priority activities, while ensuring that the risk is within safe limits,” Jokowi said. "With an increased education budget it is hoped that there will be no more Indonesian children left behind."(Updates with government spending in second paragraph, fiscal deficit in seventh.)\--With assistance from Eko Listiyorini.To contact the reporters on this story: Karlis Salna in Jakarta at ksalna@bloomberg.net;Viriya Singgih in Jakarta at vsinggih@bloomberg.net;Arys Aditya in Jakarta at aaditya5@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Nasreen Seria at nseria@bloomberg.net, Thomas Kutty Abraham, Michael S. ArnoldFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.


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